Too Big A Goal?

 

This is an excellent goal, but the problem is there has been no progress with intensity forecasting for the last 15 to 20 years.  As the below graph shows, in the one to two day forecast, the intensity can be off one category stronger or weaker. Five to 10 percent of the time it can be off by two categories.  The key for intensity forecasting is the data and physics has to get better, and, until that happens, intensity forecasting will show no gains. 

To view other weather quiz answers click here:

Past Weather Quiz Answers

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