The Weather Models & The Weather Channel
November 9, 2011

Eric Bickel is a high school friend and is now leads the Graduate Program in Operations Research at the University of Texas.  One of the projects he did was compare the National Weather Service, The Weather Channel and a private forecasting company forecasts to each other.  The research can be found here:

http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/2011MWR3525.1

One of his findings that I found interesting was that the Weather Channel’s performance decreases markedly after six days.  After interviewing some of the meteorologists, Bickel learned that human forecasters rarely intervene in forecasts beyond six days.  So basically the forecasts come straight from the computer models.  This is a good example how human forecasters add considerable skill to what the numerical, statistical and climatological models provide.   

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Past Weather Quiz Answers