How Alex Will Affect Us
June 29, 2010

As you can see, unless there is a dramatic change in the forecast, Alex will not make a direct hit on SE Texas.  But that doesn’t mean we won’t feel any affects.  A coastal flood watch is in effect with seas going up 6-9 feet.  Heavy rain will be the story for the greater Houston area.  We’ll receive 2-4″ through Thursday with some spots getting more and of course that means there is the potential for flooding. 

Alex should become a hurricane tonight and may make land as a category 2 storm.

How Far North Will This Storm Go?
June 28, 2010

The trend since Sunday has Alex tracking more north toward the Texas coastline.  Notice how most of the models are moving the storm into Texas.  With warm Gulf waters and low wind shear, Alex should become a category 2 or 3 hurricane by Wednesday making land Thursday.  Because of its compact size and track, oil recovery should not be interrupted.  However, because of the counterclockwise flow around a hurricane, we will see increased seas moving more oil toward the coastline.  Not good news. 

The closer Alex gets to us in southeast Texas, the more seas will increase along the coast. I’ll have more on this tomorrow.  A Texas landfall should bring  periods of heavy rain to us Wednesday and Thursday.  I’ve seen storms like this hit Brownsville and cause flooding in Houston because of the outer rain bands.  I hope everyone reading this has a plan and is prepared no matter what happens.  Please keep coming back to the blog and watch me in the morning and Frank in the afternoon for the latest developments.